The closing session for Western markets showed a mixed dynamic in precious metals. Gold (XAU) closed practically unchanged, holding around $4,679.60 USD/oz. This stability contrasts with the slight appreciation of silver (XAG), which gained 0.28% to settle at $73.13 USD/oz.
Platinum group metals also registered positive movements, with platinum (XPT) closing at $1,986.00 USD/oz (+0.14%), and palladium (XPD) experiencing a 0.99% drop to $1,492.50 USD/oz. In the realm of industrial metals, copper (HG) showed strength, closing the session at $5.61 USD/oz (+0.47%), driven partly by news on the potential resumption of ore exports in Panama.
Key Factors of the Session
The persistence of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has continued to act as underlying support for safe-haven assets like gold, although the absence of new significant escalations has moderated its upward momentum during the session. The IMF's report on how the war in the region could slow growth and increase inflation has maintained caution in the markets, but has not caused a strong unidirectional movement in the yellow metal.
Statements from Federal Reserve members, such as Goolsbee and Hammack, who have indicated that inflation remains a greater concern than unemployment, suggest a scenario of interest rates that could remain elevated for longer. This, in theory, increases the cost of opportunity for metals of holding non-yielding precious metals, but the perception of global risk continues to counteract this effect.
In the copper sector, the news that Panama could approve exports of accumulated ore from the Cobre Panamá mine has been a positive factor. This measure seeks to unblock production and could alleviate, at least partially, supply concerns at a time of active industrial demand.
Investors will remain attentive to any developments on the Middle East geopolitical front, as well as statements from Federal Reserve officials regarding inflation and monetary policy. Any emerging macroeconomic data and the evolution of industrial demand, especially in the copper sector, will be crucial in determining the direction of precious and industrial metals in the coming sessions. The consolidation of gold prices around current levels suggests the market is digesting the risks, but any new information could trigger more pronounced movements.
Sources
War in Middle East will lead to slower growth, higher inflation, IMF chief tells Reuters
Panama moves to unlock copper from First Quantum mine
Fed’s Goolsbee, Hammack say inflation is flashing ’orange,’ or worse